Trump Casts Long Shadow Over California Campaigns

Even before Donald Trump’s confusing gaffe Monday night in Nebraska about Iran bombing Los Angeles and San Diego, the president was looming large over nearly every hotly contested California election campaign.

In one Southern California race, Trump’s long shadow produced a disjointed two-step. Rep. Ken Calvert is attacking fellow Republican Rep. Young Kim for her anti-Trump stances, even as a Calvert-aligned PAC sent Democratic voters in the district mailers playing up her support for and from Trump.

Confused? That’s understandable. Under the new map, Calvert’s 41st Congressional District in Southern California was redrawn as a solidly Democratic seat, so the 33-year incumbent chose to run in the neighboring 40th, which stretches from the eastern edge of Orange County into a large chunk of western Riverside County.

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That move set up the cycle’s strangest California race: Calvert versus Kim in a solidly Republican district that Trump carried by 12 points. It has been one of the nastiest campaigns in the country, with both sides fighting over who is more loyal to Trump. During the primary, a pro-Calvert super PAC, Americans 4 Security, spent $2.9 million on anti-Kim ads. Calvert has called Kim a “backstabbing RINO” and a “Trump-traitor,” and the PAC’s ads paint her as a liberal who hates Trump, citing her past vote to censure the president while ignoring her votes against Democrats’ efforts to impeach him.

Yet the same pro-Calvert super PAC sent two deliberately deceptive mailers to Democrats, playing up Kim’s pro-MAGA record. One showed a photo of a smiling Kim with the words “Young Kim, 100% with Trump,” and “a proven fighter who will stand with President Trump to deliver a bold American First Agenda.”

The goal was obvious: Turn off Democratic households and discourage party crossover support for Kim.

Kim answered with an ad focused on Calvert’s old scandals. It cites a 2009 Orange County Register editorial that ranked him among the most corrupt members of Congress, calls him swampy and sleazy, and revives a 1994 Los Angeles Times story about police catching him with a prostitute in his car. The ad ends by calling Calvert a “sleazebag.”

For all their fighting over Trump, both Calvert and Kim carefully avoided the furor over his Iran comments early this week, even as the remarks set off a raging debate on social media and in campaigns across the state. The timing could hardly have been worse for Republicans: The comments landed just as most California voters began receiving their mail-in ballots.

Speaking before a cheering crowd in Grand Island, Nebraska, Monday night, Trump defended his war with Iran with a line that landed hard 1,500 miles west: “Let them take out Los Angeles, let them take out San Diego.” The White House defended the line, saying the president was clearly warning about what Iran could do with a nuclear weapon, not encouraging it.

Although the explanation clearly fits the context of the president’s remarks, it didn’t satisfy everyone in his own party. By Tuesday morning, the Republican running in Southern California’s most closely watched open House seat was publicly breaking with him.

Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor and Navy veteran who is the GOP nominee in the redrawn 48th District, said he “vehemently” disapproved of what the president said. The district is currently represented by retiring Rep. Darrell Issa.

Desmond’s quick distancing is a measure of how worried Republicans are about Trump’s waning popularity even in precincts he carried in previous elections – a dynamic playing out beyond California’s borders as well.

The newly drawn 48th district is a hook-shaped swath that includes areas in San Diego and Riverside counties, including around Vista, San Marcos, Palm Springs, and Temecula. The current configuration changed a 12-point Republican voter registration advantage to a 4-point Democratic lead. That, of course, was done by design. Late last year, state Democrats redrew the state’s congressional map through Proposition 50, the ballot measure voters approved last November. Gov. Gavin Newsom sold the measure to voters as a way to fight Republican “fire with fire,” abandoning independent redistricting to redraw California’s congressional map in Democrats’ favor (in response to Republicans’ redistricting effort in Texas). The new map was designed to put five of California’s nine Republican-held seats either at a strong Democratic advantage or within Democrats’ reach. The question now is not whether Democrats gain seats here, but how many. And the answer turns on a handful of genuinely competitive races.

Click here to read the full article in Real Clear Politics

California’s wildfire bills need water safeguards written into law

OPINION — The Trump administration is promoting the herbicide glyphosate as the U.S. Forest Service expands its use on California public lands. Now, wildfire bills could fast-track comparable herbicide-treatment projects without requiring baseline water testing or downstream monitoring.

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Senate Bill 1370 would create a consolidated, expedited process for covered wildfire-mitigation projects. It would exempt covered projects from the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), California’s main environmental review law, and allow waivers of specified requirements.

Assembly Bill 2410 would exempt qualifying fuels-reduction projects from CEQA if they comply with the 2025 Statewide Fuels Reduction Environmental Protection Plan and specified conditions.

SB1370 excludes herbicide treatment from its covered-project pathway; AB 2410’s CEQA exemption does not itself establish uniform, water-specific safeguards wherever herbicide treatment is authorized.

California’s own record shows why lawmakers must require water safeguards before accelerating or exempting herbicide-treatment projects.

In July, the California Department of Pesticide Regulation (DPR) replaced — for the first time since 1991 — its method for determining which pesticides belong on its Groundwater Protection List, the registry that triggers formal follow-up when a pesticide is detected in groundwater. DPR’s rulemaking record shows it reviewed 480 chemicals, added 52 and removed 32.

Glyphosate and its primary breakdown product, aminomethylphosphonic acid (AMPA), were not added. The published rulemaking record shows no glyphosate or AMPA evaluation under the new procedure; no score or reason appears.

This omission matters because glyphosate is widely used in California forests, aquatic areas, and watersheds draining to drinking-water sources; the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) identifies herbicide runoff as a source in drinking water.

For listed pesticides, an unequivocal groundwater detection triggers a written determination within 90 days on whether it resulted from lawful agricultural use. Glyphosate and AMPA are unlisted. That requirement does not apply to them.

DPR’s 2024 annual report recorded glyphosate at 42 parts per billion — about 42 drops in 13,000 gallons — in a San Bernardino County agricultural well. The report compared it with California’s 700 parts per billion drinking-water limit and identified it as 1,200 times DPR’s lower screening level. The report states: “DPR will evaluate.” As of publication, I have found no posted evaluation or written determination.

California’s monitoring record shows repeated unanswered questions. DPR’s 2021 well-network update said it analyzed 59 Fresno and Tulare County wells with a Glyphosate Screen, with results due in 2023. The 2023 update had no screen results. DPR’s record offers no explanation.

Study 332, begun in November 2021 to characterize glyphosate movement through leaching-vulnerable California soils, was due in November 2022. DPR’s study page posts only the protocol; no results have been published.

DPR did not respond to multiple requests for comment about the missing screen, unpublished study, San Bernardino determination and glyphosate’s new-procedure score. Those unanswered questions matter because Trout Creek and the Upper Truckee River carry runoff from the Caldor Fire burn area in the Lake Tahoe Basin to the lake — a drinking-water source.

The 2021 Caldor Fire burned over 220,000 acres, threatening South Lake Tahoe and forcing evacuation. The Forest Service’s 11,700-acre project authorizes glyphosate treatment and restoration work within and adjacent to Trout Creek (a Lake Tahoe tributary); the decision documents identify no baseline water-monitoring requirement. The Forest Service cited the Williams, Kroes, and Munro review in its POEA (polyethoxylated tallow amine) and human-health analysis. The 2000 assessment concluded that glyphosate was safe for human health under expected conditions of use.

In November 2025, Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology retracted the review, citing undisclosed Monsanto co-writing, unpublished company studies, and serious ethical concerns about authorship. The Forest Service’s March 2026 Decision Notice retained the assessment.

Click  here to read the full article in the Capitol Weekly

With mail-in rules uncertain, here’s how Californians can prepare to vote in November

Ballots are going out in less than a month, and California remains locked in a legal battle with the Trump administration over the president’s push to rein in universal mail-in voting.

The back-and-forth has some California voters likely wondering whether they’ll be able to vote by mail in this upcoming election. And if so, should they?

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In short — yes, mail-in voting will still be an option this year. And yes, it’s still safe and generally reliable, although county election officials are urging voters to send in their ballots as early as possible ahead of the Nov. 3 election.

In case you missed it, the U.S. Supreme Court is poised to issue a ruling that will determine, at least for now, whether President Donald Trump can force the U.S. Postal Service to restrict vote-by-mail ballots in time for the midterm election. Trump wants to create a federal database of registered voters that the postal service would then cross reference to ensure mail-in ballots are only delivered to eligible voters – in other words, U.S. citizens. His plan would have the postal service refuse to deliver ballots in states that withhold the data.

The dizzying, monthslong legal saga has baffled voters and even some election officials, which some voting rights advocates argue is probably the point.

But California election officials say the state is well-equipped to administer the election, regardless of how the Supreme Court rules. Although county registrars are monitoring the court rulings, they’re also preparing to mail ballots as usual by the state’s Oct. 5 deadline. Local and state officials are urging voters to make a plan to vote early and to use the state’s various non-mail voting options, such as drop-boxes and in-person voting sites, if they’re worried about the postal service.

“Like we do for all of our elections, we have contingency plans or disaster plans put into place,” said Tricia Webber, clerk and registrar of voters for Santa Cruz County and president of the California Association of County Election Officials.

Some counties, including Santa Cruz and Los Angeles, are exploring options for pop-up stations where voters could request and submit ballots. In Santa Cruz County, Webber said her team is strategizing how to deploy their votemobile around the county to add yet another option for voters.

“Until there’s an answer,” Webber said, speaking of the pending court ruling, “California counties are doing business as usual.”

What does Trump want USPS to do?

Trump issued an executive order in March that sought to give the federal government control over who receives mail-in ballots. Almost immediately, more than 20 Democratic attorneys general, including California’s Rob Bonta, sued the Trump administration on the grounds that the Constitution allows only Congress and state governments to administer elections.

Federal district and appellate courts sided with the Democratic states and upheld a temporary injunction preventing the Postal Service from implementing any part of its plan while litigation continues.

Click here to read the full article in CalMatters

‘The landscape has changed dramatically’: States defy the tech lobby on AI rules

State legislators are emboldened by rising public outrage, ineffective pushback from Washington and a surge of pro-regulation dollars — and tech lobbyists are throwing in the towel.

The tech industry’s effort to stop states from regulating artificial intelligence is on the verge of collapse, as legislators from across the country lose their fear of Silicon Valley.

Interviews with more than a dozen state lawmakers, tech representatives and AI regulation advocates revealed a defiant mood sweeping through statehouses. Legislators are increasingly ignoring warnings from the tech lobby and its Washington allies about an unworkable “patchwork” of conflicting laws — and are instead preparing bills to address the safety of advanced models, new AI auditing standards, chatbot protections for kids and the impact of data centers.

California House Republicans ask Trump administration to block state’s new tax

California House Republicans are asking the Trump administration to prevent Democratic state leaders from implementing a new tax on health insurers. Six House members, including Reps. Kevin Kiley, I-Rocklin, and James Gallagher, R-Yuba City, sent a letter Friday to U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz to ask that the federal government deny approval of the state’s managed care organization tax.

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Gov. Gavin Newsom, after approval from the Democratic supermajority in the Legislature, signed the tax into law last month, though it requires federal approval. Democrats have argued tax on managed care organizations — the insurers responsible for most commercial health plans — is necessary to help steady the finances of the Medi-Cal program and will reduce the potential for future budget cuts. “Californians are already shouldered with the highest cost of living in the United States,” the California House Republicans said in the letter. “This proposal will only make things worse.” State leaders have previously told The Sacramento Bee that the tax is a result of a Republican-led federal rule change. Under the new rules, California had to either levy a higher tax on commercial plans or end the taxes on the state plans and lose federal funding. The new tax is estimated to lead to an annual $400 increase for a family of four. Friday’s request follows a letter sent to HHS earlier this month from more than a dozen Assembly Republicans.

California Department of Finance spokesperson HD Palmer said in a written statement Monday said the tax allows “the state to continue to support the Medi-Cal program and maintain targeted rate increases for Medi-Cal providers.” “It was crafted to comply with the federal law changes that Congress passed and the president signed last year — which is why we anticipate and expect that it will meet with their approval,” Palmer said in a statement. Money generated from the increase will help pay for Medi-Cal, the state’s version of Medicaid, which has become more expensive in recent years due to eligibility expansion. The state is also generally facing looming budget deficits in the coming years due to high spending. Kiley, in a written statement, called the proposed tax increase “unacceptable.” He, Gallagher, and Reps. Vince Fong, Ken Calvert, Young Kim and Jay Obernolte signed Friday’s letter. “Policymakers on both sides of the aisle, at both the state and federal level, need to be focused on making healthcare more affordable,” Kiley said.

Click here to read the full article at the Sacramento Bee

 

Trump, without proof, claims ‘cheating’ in California vote, says federal inquiry underway

  • State officials and elections experts reject the allegations as baseless, pointing to California’s generous mail voting rules, laborious signature checks and a predictable ‘red mirage’ that initially favors Republicans.
  • Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Trump allies and right-wing influencers amplify fraud claims online as billions flow through political prediction markets, raising fresh fears about election misinformation and meddling for profit.

To the surprise of few, President Trump has once again claimed without evidence that Democrats are somehow cheating to win California’s primary elections — writing on social media late Wednesday that federal prosecutors in Los Angeles are investigating the matter.

“The Dumocrats are at it again! They are trying to STEAL THE GOVERNOR OF CALIFORNIA PRIMARY, AND THE MAYOR OF LOS ANGELES, PRIMARY, AWAY FROM TWO GREAT REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES. Here we go with the very late and massive numbers of MAIL IN BALLOTS,” Trump posted to his social media website.

“There’s BIG cheating by the Dumocrats in California. Votes are all tied up. May not be in for weeks. Under investigation by the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Los Angeles,” he wrote in a second post. “Why the vote counting DELAY???”

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A spokesperson for the U.S. attorney’s office in Los Angeles — run by Trump loyalist First Assistant U.S. Atty. Bill Essayli — declined to comment Thursday morning on Trump’s claims of an investigation.

The White House declined to say what Trump was basing his cheating claims on, if anything, or provide details about the inquiry. Trump also provided no proof when he doubled down on his claims at a Thursday event in the Oval Office, where he alleged that California Democrats had “found a lot of mail-in ballots” the night prior and were “rigging the election” with them.

California Secretary of State Shirley Weber defended the state’s election process in a statement, saying “accuracy comes before speed” when counting millions of ballots in the nation’s most populous state.

“Taking the time to do this work correctly protects voters’ rights and ensures the integrity of our elections,” Weber said. “California has built a strong system that expands access, empowers voters, and ensures more Californians can fully participate in our democracy.”

Gov. Gavin Newsom’s office responded directly to Trump late Wednesday with its own social media post, writing, “Trump is lying about California again — time to take the phone away from grandpa and put him to sleep.”

Click here to read the full article in the LA Times

Trump officials hit California with ‘largest ever’ freeze on Medicaid funds

Welcome to CalMatters, the only nonprofit newsroom devoted solely to covering issues that affect all Californians. Sign up for WhatMatters to receive the latest news and commentary on the most important issues in the Golden State.

The Trump administration is suspending $1.1 billion in Medicaid funding from California’s home health program over fraud concerns, a move that state health officials and health advocates say could harm hundreds of thousands of seniors and people with disabilities.

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At the center of the dispute is California’s In-home Supportive Services, or IHSS, which helps about 900,000 older Californians and people with disabilities with daily activities so they can remain in their homes instead of institutional settings. 

Dr. Mehmet Oz, administrator of the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, called it the “largest deferral we’ve ever made” at a Wednesday press conference. He said California is an outlier – its home health spending is growing at twice the rate of other states – and that the federal government will withhold Medicaid funds until the state can convincingly explain why. 

The suspension is part of the administration’s stated crackdown on Medicaid and Medicare fraud. Though Oz’s agency has raised concerns about “integrity” in California’s home health program, it has provided no supporting evidence, California health officials said.

State Medicaid director Tyler Sadwith said in a press release the program’s growth has been intentional. He attributed it to three factors: a larger caseload, higher hourly wages for home health workers, and more hours logged as workers serve more people with greater needs.

Between 2023 and 2025, caseload increased 17.5%, and the average hourly wage for home health workers grew from $19 to $21 according to the Department of Health Care Services, which oversees the state’s Medicaid program, better known here as Medi-Cal. 

Gov. Gavin Newsom, speaking at his budget presentation Thursday, argued the expansion should be celebrated not punished. In-home health services cost about $30,000 per person annually, Newsom said. Skilled nursing facilities can cost four to five times that. 

State health officials said they have a strong oversight system to weed out fraud in the home health care system, including “annual assessments, electronic timesheets, verification tools, and coordinated state-county review processes.”

In addition to the $1.1 billion deferral on home health, the federal government is withholding another $200 million tied to administrative claims the state said it expected and is working to resolve. 

The federal freeze of California funding follows a similar action in Minnesota in February, when the federal administration suspended $259 million in Medicaid payments. Minnesota sued to block it. 

During Wednesday’s press conference, Vice President JD Vance – who oversees the administration’s fraud task force – accused California, New York and Hawaii of not doing enough to combat Medicaid fraud. “This is why we’re taking this action,” Vance said. “We want California to get more serious about this fraud.” 

California has been a focus in the Trump administration’s anti-fraud efforts, with hospice care at the center of investigations. Vance and Oz also announced a six-month nationwide moratorium on Wednesday – barring new hospice providers from enrolling in Medicare. California has imposed a similar pause on new hospice licenses. 

Click here to read the full article in CalMatters

Latinos in California are mad at Trump. Their votes for Democrats’ gerrymandering show it

California’s primary election is just around the corner. Prepare to vote with the latest updates from our election newsletter.

Two years ago, Chiefer Danks of Rosedale, who works in agriculture, believed the former president would stabilize the economy and make life more affordable again as it was under his first administration. But more than a year into the second Trump administration, Danks isn’t pleased with how things have changed. 

Like Danks, many California Latinos feel betrayed by the president’s campaign promises to promptly lower costs and keep the U.S. out of foreign military entanglements — both of which ring hollow as gasoline and grocery prices surge due primarily to Trump’s unpopular war in Iran.

They’re also frightened and outraged that Trump’s second administration has targeted Latino residents — both those here illegally and legally, even U.S. citizens — with violent immigration raids and deportations, separating families in the process. 

“I thought he was going to make America great again,” said Danks, 31, as he stood waiting for his wife in El Mercado Latino, a hub for Latino-owned family businesses in the heavily Hispanic neighborhood of East Bakersfield. “He didn’t follow through on his words.”

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Public opinion polls and off-year elections have pointed to Latinos reversing their historic 2024 rightward shift toward Trump. And according to a new CalMatters review of 2025 election data, that trend also applies to last year’s special election on redistricting — which Democrats successfully framed as a referendum on Trump.

The analysis of voting results from 57 of California’s 58 counties found that Proposition 50, Gov. Gavin Newsom’s plan to gerrymander the state’s congressional districts in Democrats’ favor, vastly outperformed Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential campaign in precincts where the majority of voters are nonwhite. 

The trend was most striking in precincts where the majority of ballots were cast by Latino voters. “Yes” on Prop. 50 gained about 30 percentage points compared to Harris’s performance against Trump a year earlier, according to CalMatters’ analysis. 

CalMatters’ findings provide some of the clearest quantitative evidence yet that the Latino rightward shift toward Trump in 2024 was more a blip than a permanent realignment, a nationwide trend that has so far been captured by state and national polling, focus groups and anecdotal evidence. 

Click here to read the full article in CalMatters

Donald Trump weighs down state Republicans

Though you are surely plumbing the depths of CalMatters’ comprehensive voter guide, let’s highlight two parts in particular: The race for state treasurer and California legislative elections:

State treasurer: Six candidates are vying to be California’s next money manager, but the race is largely between two top Democrats: Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis, whom Gov. Gavin Newsom endorsed, and state Sen. Anna Caballero of Merced. Caballero is a longtime legislator and formerly served as Business, Consumer Services and Housing Agency secretary under Gov. Jerry Brown. Though the two candidates agree on most issues, they do take different stances on clean energy alternatives. 

Under California’s electoral system, the two candidates who get the most votes advance to the November ballot, regardless of party. That means a Republican could also claim a spot. The California GOP has endorsed Jennifer Hawks, a Bay Area Republican Party activist, over Republican businessman David Serpa. Both candidates say they want to rein in spending from California Democrats.

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California Legislature: Two seats in the Assembly that Republicans recently flipped are up for reelection. But the GOP faces a twofold challenge this time: President Donald Trump’s approval rating has been slipping and the president’s party almost always loses in downballot races during the midterms. 

Two years ago, Republican incumbent Jeff Gonzalez of Coachella pulled off a stunning upset when he won his election for Assembly District 36, a left-leaning Latino-majority district. Now he faces three Democratic challengers who are linking him to Trump’s immigration enforcement. Gonzalez, in a statement, said he blames both parties for using immigration as “a political chess piece.” 

Click here to read the full article in CalMatters

How a Trump-endorsed Republican could become California’s next governor

Steve Hilton is a former Fox News host who has unexpectedly emerged as a leading candidate in the race for governor with a message that California is a failed state in need of radical reform.

But his sudden rise in California politics comes a decade and a half after he pitched the U.K. Conservative Party with a very different idea: Britain could learn a lot from the Golden State.

Back in 2010, when Hilton was a top strategist during David Cameron’s rise to power as Conservative prime minister, he looked to Silicon Valley’s high-charged ethos of techno-optimism and green innovation for inspiration as he sought to revitalize the ailing Conservative Party and the U.K.

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Splitting his time between London and the Bay Area — his wife worked for Google — Hilton was instrumental in getting California companies to invest in the U.K. and persuading Google to open its first wholly owned and designed building outside the U.S. in London. So infatuated was he with California that one British political commentator dubbed the Cameron administration’s philosophy ”Thatcherism on a surfboard.”

But Hilton is now utterly unsparing in his criticism of California.

After moving to the Bay Area full time, teaching at Stanford University and hosting Fox News’ “The Next Revolution,” Hilton is running as a Republican on a platform of “Making California Golden Again.”

To the dismay of many Democrats, the 56-year-old British immigrant, a supporter of President Trump who dubs California “America’s worst-run state,” is ahead in multiple polls in a crowded race with no front-runner.

Even after former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell dropped out April 12 after multiple women accused him of sexual assault, Democrats are struggling to unite around one candidate. And Trump’s endorsement of Hilton this month almost seems to guarantee Hilton will secure enough Republican votes to make it past the June primary.

Hilton accuses Democratic leaders of turning the state into the “Wuhan lab of modern leftism.” As Democrats amassed power in Sacramento, seizing control of statewide offices and the Legislature, he argues, California government has become “a massive, bloated, bureaucratic nanny state,” so overregulated and poorly run, it is failing its people.

“We have the highest poverty rate in the country in California, tied with Louisiana, which is shameful, really, for a state that prides itself on being the home of innovation and opportunity,” he told The Times. “We’re ranked by U.S. News and World Report 50 out of 50 for opportunity. The performance of California, when measured against the rest of the country, is really dire.”

Click here to read the full article in the LA Times