Will she or won’t she? The California governor’s race waits on Kamala Harris

  • Since leaving Washington in January, Kamala Harris has mostly stayed out of the public eye, talking to close friends and confidantes about whether to leave politics, run for governor or run for president for a third time.
  • Harris is expected to make a decision about whether to enter the 2026 gubernatorial race by the end of summer.

The Democrats running for California governor have spent the spring and summer working to win over the powerful donors and interest groups who could help them squeak through a competitive primary election.

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

But the candidates, and many deep-pocketed Democrats, are still waiting for the decision that will have the biggest impact on the race: whether former Vice President Kamala Harris is running.

Since Harris lost to President Trump in November, the race to replace Gov. Gavin Newsom has been in suspended animation, with candidates trying to plan their campaigns without knowing who their biggest opponents will be. A few are making contingency plans to run for other offices. And some major donors are waiting to write big checks.

“It creates a little bit of a limbo situation,” said Tony Thurmond, the state superintendent of public instruction who launched his gubernatorial campaign in 2023.

The Democrats in the race are talking to many of the same potential donors, Thurmond said, and most have the same question: “Is she going to run?” The only answer, Thurmond said, is an unsatisfying one: “We don’t know.”

Since leaving Washington in January, Harris has mostly stayed out of the public eye, settling back into her Brentwood home with her husband, Doug Emhoff, and talking to close friends and confidantes about what she should do next. She is weighing whether to leave politics, run for governor or run for president for a third time. She is expected to make a decision about the gubernatorial race by the end of summer.

Click here to read the full article in the LA Times

Steve Hilton’s Plan for Cutting Gas Prices and Creating Affordable Energy

Since Donald Trump was re-elected, the U.S. has retaken the lead in global oil production, no thanks to California

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

Today, July 1, 2025, AAA reports that the national average for a gallon of regular grade gas is $3.178.

California’s average for a gallon of regular gas is $4.581.

California’s average for a gallon of mid-grade gas is $4.807.

California’s average for a gallon of premium-grade gas is $4.985.

California’s average for a gallon of diesel is $5.115.

The lowest price for a gallon of regular grade gas in in Mississippi  at $2.711.

The California Globe has written plenty and consistently about California’s soaring gas prices. We’ve covered California’s excessively high energy costs, and in 2024, more than 1 out of 6 households, or 21.12 million Americans were and may still be behind in energy bill payments. In California, energy poverty is real and pushes people further down into poverty.

It doesn’t have to be this way. Since Donald Trump was re-elected and took office January 20, 2025, the U.S. has retaken the lead in global oil production, no thanks to California.

Here is why California leads the nation in the highest gas and energy prices:

California Governor Cracks Down On Fracking, Requires Audits and Scientific Review from NPR.

Newsom bans new California fracking permits starting in 2024.

Bad Timing: California Denies 21 Fracking Permits in Kern County, the Globe reported in 2021.

NPR reported in 2019:

In 2019, California Gov. Gavin Newsom imposed new regulations on hydraulic fracturing, known as fracking, and curbed steam-injected oil drilling. extractive methods long opposed by environmentalists.

The Globe reported in 2021, Senators Scott Wiener (D-San Francisco) and Monique Limon (D-Santa Barbara), introduced Senate Bill 467 to halt all hydraulic fracturing resource extraction. Under SB 467, new or renewed permits to conduct hydraulic fracturing, acid well stimulation treatment, steam flooding, water flooding, or cyclic steaming for the extraction of oil and gas would be prohibited beginning in January 2022. Gov. Newsom signed SB 467 into law in 2022.

As we’ve reported, California currently has the highest gas prices in the nation – higher even than Hawaii, despite California’s abundant oil reserves.

AAA gas prices July 1, 2025. (Photo: gasprices.aaa.com)

As we have asked repeatedly, if oil companies are gouging at the pump as Gov. Gavin Newsom claims, why are prices in neighboring western states like Nevada ($3.78) or Arizona ($3.25) significantly lower?

AAA gas prices July 1, 2025. (Photo: gasprices.aaa.com)

This pricing crisis stems from 15 years of misguided Democratic policies that prioritize ideology over affordability, says California Gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton.

Click here to read the full article in the California Globe

‘No One Is Incredibly Pumped’ About Kamala Harris Running for Governor

This year I’ve emphasized a recurring point in the Morning Jolt and elsewhere that Kamala Harris, an alleged potential candidate to be the next governor of California, doesn’t seem all that focused on, or interested in, state issues. And it’s not exactly been a quiet year for the Golden State — wildfires burning down a chunk of Los Angeles, riots and urban unrest, a predictable budget crisis, etcetera. The fact that Harris isn’t talking much about state issues makes it hard to believe that she is filled with burning desire to run the state government’s executive branch for four to eight years.

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

Politico notes, to no one’s surprise, that in the circles of California’s big-time Democratic donors, “No one is incredibly pumped.”

In interviews, several major donors in the state told POLITICO they fear her reemergence as a candidate would re-open still-fresh wounds from her defeat in 2024. Some harbor lingering frustration about how her billion-dollar campaign juggernaut ended in debt and want assurances she would have a clear plan to win the governor’s mansion. Others are impatient for Harris to start publicly making her case for why she’d want the job.

One California Democrat who contributed six-figures to her presidential bid said a Harris candidacy would only serve as a reminder of how “traumatizing” the last election was.

“Kamala just reminds you we are in this complete s*** storm. With Biden, we got bamboozled. . . .  I think she did the best she could in that situation, but obviously she knew about the cognitive decline too,” the donor said. “I’ve written so many checks because I knew the Trump administration would be horrible, but we’re living in a nightmare because of the Democrats. I’m furious at them, truly.”

Deeper in the article, there’s this curious detail:

Harris is sticking with her late-summer deadline, though she has put a finer point on her season of decision-making. One key milestone is a planned July vacation — her first getaway since leaving office — where allies hope some time away to decompress and tune out will help clarify her thinking. [Emphasis added.]

Her first vacation since leaving office? What has she been doing? Because it hasn’t been making many public appearances, doing a single interview, or attending the California Democratic Party convention. She’s been about as accessible as J. D. Salinger, which is something of an odd choice if you want to win a gubernatorial primary held on June 2, 2026.

Then, in the 31st paragraph, Politico mentions:

She is keenly interested in how supporters are feeling and what their top concerns are for the state, where she hasn’t lived full-time in nearly 10 years. [Emphasis added.]

Presumably, this is referring to Harris beginning her Senate work in January 2017; she and her husband Doug Emhoff purchased a condo in the Westlight building for $1.775 million later that year.

Now, it’s not that rare for senators and congressmen to run for governor, and obviously they still spend time in their home states. But expect some Harris rival to observe, “The last time Kamala Harris lived here in California full time, Barack Obama was president; the U.K. was in the European Union; and David Bowie, Prince, and Harambe were alive.”

Click here to read the full article in the National Review

Special Presidential Envoy Ric Grenell Confirms He Is Still Looking Into A Possible 2026 Run For Governor

Grenell talked to President Trump this week about a potential 2026 run

Special Presidential Envoy, former Director of National Security, and former Ambassador to Germany Ric Grenell confirmed Thursday that while he has talked to President Donald Trump this week about running for Governor in 2026, he has yet to make a decision on the matter.

“I would say that this is zero confidence right now in Gavin Newsom and Karen Bass from Democrats,” said Grenell in a Politico interview. “So do we have faith as riots are unfolding in the federal government more than the local government? You bet we do.

“So when Donald Trump decided to send in send in law enforcement, and send in the military and send in the National Guard, there are a lot of Democrats in California who said “Thank God”, because Karen Bass isn’t cut out to be our leader.

“And I talked to the President about this yesterday. I want to see if Kamala runs. If Kamala runs, I think, there’s a whole bunch of Republicans who are going to have to take a look at it, not just me. It’s going to have an influence on my decision. Here’s the thing. If she runs, it’s going to make me have to take a look at it. Right now, I’m not running.”

For over a year, candidates for the 2026 Gubernatorial election have trickled in. On the Democratic side, major candidates include Lt. Governor Eleni Kounalakis, former Congresswoman Katie Porter,  State Superintendent Tony Thurmond, Senator Toni Atkins (D-San Diego), Former State Controller Betty Yee, former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra and former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa. For the GOP, the list of major candidates is significantly smaller, with Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco and former Director of Strategy for then-British Prime Minister David Cameron and former Fox News host Steve Hilton leading the Republican pack.

And then there are the speculative candidates, or those that previously announced interest. Front and foremost is former Vice President Kamala Harris, who has said that she will decide if she is running by the end of the summer. Others include Developer and 2022 Los Angeles Mayoral candidate Rick Caruso, former State Senator and 2022 Gubernatorial candidate Brian Dahle, former Olympian and 2021 Gubernatorial candidate Caitlyn Jenner, Actor and Chairman of the National Foundation for Governors’ Fitness Councils (NFGFC) Jake Steinfeld, and Grenell.

Click here to read the full article in the California Globe

Duh: ‘Democrats Are Not Thrilled About Kamala’

Race and gender are not qualifications, skills, talent or personality traits

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

“Democrats are not thrilled about Kamala, reads the headline from a Politico article Sunday.

Let me break the news to Politico: Democrats were never thrilled about Kamala. She’s an elitist politician who hides behind race and gender as cover for her incompetence.

Kamala Harris is the poster child for everything wrong with affirmative action.

Race and gender are not qualifications, skills, talent or personality traits.

The Washington Post and The New York Times reported Sunday that Democrat activists and party delegates are tepid at best on former Vice President Kamala Harris launching a gubernatorial bid.

Kamala Harris did not attend the CADEM Convention in Anaheim in person over the weekend – even though she lives in Los Angeles. Instead, as 4,000 party delegates gathered, “she spoke to them through a three-minute video address that drew tepid applause.”

How gracious of her.

As the Globe reported Monday, “her decision not to attend the CADEM convention held in Anaheim only increased the popularity in the gubernatorial races of the next top 8 candidates.”

Ouch. That’s gonna leave a mark.

Kamala Harris has only herself to blame for Democrats saying “meh” when her name is mentioned as a gubernatorial candidate, or presidential candidate – again.

In April when there appeared to be very few interested in Kamala running for President again, we reported:

Some of “her closest allies say she is leaning against another White House run in 2028 and, instead, toward a campaign for governor of California in 2026,” the New York Times reports on the future of Kamala Harris, because as Harris says, “You exist in the context of all in which you live and what you came before you.”

“Her political choice is binary, she has told people: She can run for governor or president, but not both.”

Duh. Did Kamala Harris write that line?

Remember, Kamala prolongs the life of luxury her campaigning affords her as long as there is even “talk” of her running – for anything:

Kamala Harris has a reputation for luxury living on campaign funds, she probably wants to keep the funding coming in. Going back to 2011, her spending on luxury hotels, first class airfares, and limousines raised eyebrows. As the Hill reported in 2015:

“Staff has always worried about Kamala’s spending, but she is adamant about using campaign money as she wants,” said a former aide, speaking on condition of anonymity.

“She treats the campaign like a personal checking account to fund a lifestyle she aspires to,” the former aide added.

Another ex-aide said that “Kamala demands a life of luxury.”

Click here to read the full article in the California Globe

Why Kamala Harris could run for California governor and bypass another White House bid

LOS ANGELES (AP) — Many of Kamala Harris’ supporters and detractors alike think she’d have better odds running for California governor rather than president a third time.

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

There are several reasons for Harris to make a bid to replace term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom. She would immediately become the early front-runner instead of entering a presidential primary with a dozen or more serious contenders. No other candidate in California could match her résumé of having served as San Francisco district attorney, state attorney general, U.S. senator and vice president.

Beyond being expected to make a decision by the end of summer, Harris said little about her future. She told a crowd in Orange County in April: “I’ll see you out there. I’m not going anywhere.”

Newsom has predicted that Harris would top the field in a contested primary but added, “if she runs.”

To run for governor, “you have to have a burning ‘Why?’ ” Newsom said on the “Next Up with Mark Halperin” podcast.

“And if you can’t enunciate that, the answer is ‘No,’” Newsom added. “Why the hell would you want this job?”

Here are some reasons why she might want it — and why she might not. Her office did not respond to requests for comment for this story.

Pro: She can skip a fractious 2028 primary

Harris would have to convince national Democrats that she’s the face of the party’s future, despite losing to President Donald Trump last fall. She’s also tied to former President Joe Biden, whom Democrats are increasingly criticizing as new books drive further discussion about his age and physical and mental readiness during his time in office.

The 2028 presidential contest is expected to attract a large field, likely to include Newsom. Any candidate will have to unify a fractious Democratic Party with low approval ratings and struggling to slow Trump’s agenda in Washington.

Democratic consultant Bill Burton, who was national press secretary for former President Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign, said Harris would enter a presidential primary with a proven fundraising network, strong recognition with voters and the experience of operating in a Trump-fueled media environment.

But the looming question for Democrats is likely to be, “Who is the best person to stand up to the MAGA movement and exhibit a strength that is going to need to be really formidable?” Burton said.

Could Harris make that case? Some think her time has passed.

“She’s had her chance,” Adam Green, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, said in a statement.

“Voters want authentic outsiders who will shake up our broken political system and challenge an economic status quo rigged for billionaires against working people,” Green added. “That’s why Kamala Harris lost, and it’s why Democrats must turn elsewhere for leadership.”

Click here to read the full article in AP News

Kill California income tax? Republican governor candidate’s big promise

Republican Steve Hilton is running to be California governor on a promise that — much like Donald Trump’s Republican-crafted tax proposal taking center stage in Washington this week — sounds too good to be true: Hilton wants to eliminate the state income tax. 

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

Whooo! No state taxes. Quick show of hands: Who would like to see the state income tax go away? Everybody? What a great idea … if only it wasn’t next to impossible to accomplish politically, wouldn’t suck money out of public schools and public safety, and wouldn’t provide a disproportionate amount of the ensuing tax break to the wealthiest Californians. 

“That is going to go,” Hilton of the state income tax in what was essentially a tossed-off line at his campaign launch last month. “We are going to remove state income taxes for everyone earning $100,000.” 

Californians earning more than that will pay a flat tax, which has its own problems. 
A few quick facts to show how tumultuous cutting the state income tax would be. Start with how the state income tax provides $100 billion in revenue each year and makes up more than 40% of state revenue and more than half of state general fund revenue.

Hilton told me that he’s tackling the tax issues because, rightfully, he is focused on policies that would make our very unaffordable state affordable. Plus, he plans to cut the state budget so much — back to pre-pandemic levels — that the state won’t need all that revenue. 

Cutting the income tax “is the quickest and simplest way of bringing some relief to people.”

So in other words, Hilton’s seems-too-simple-to-be-true proposal is a funhouse mirror of the “big beautiful bill” that President Trump and congressional Republicans are Frankensteining in Washington, only more politically impossible to accomplish in deep blue California. 

Now, even Trump is having 11th-hour second thoughts about his plan. On Friday, he floated the idea in a social media post of a “‘TINY’ tax increase for the RICH, which I and all others would graciously accept in order to help the lower and middle income workers.” 

Click here to read the full article in the SF Chronicle

Kamala Harris plans pointed critique of Trump in first major speech since leaving office

Former Vice President Kamala Harris plans to offer a pointed critique of President Trump and his policies on Wednesday in her first major speech since leaving office.

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

“She will reflect on the enduring promise of America and issue a call to action in the face of reckless economic policies and the urgent and escalating crisis facing America’s institutions and global leadership,” according to a person with knowledge of Harris’ speech who requested anonymity to speak candidly.

The speech, which is expected to be her most extensive remarks since losing the presidential election in November and leaving office in January, comes as Harris has been weighing whether to enter the 2026 California governor’s race to replace termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom.

Harris, 60, is not expected to make a decision until the end of the summer — a delay that has prompted criticism from fellow Democrats who argue that politicians can’t sit on the sidelines at a crucial moment in the nation’s and the state’s future.

Harris’ speech will take place at the Palace Hotel in San Francisco at the 20th anniversary gala of Emerge, a training program for female candidates aimed at increasing the number of Democratic women in elected office. The group was co-founded by Andrea Dew Steele, who advised Harris’ successful 2003 campaign for district attorney of San Francisco.

The former vice president is expected to speak about Emerge’s efforts to elect women as well as offer her most substantive remarks to date about the Trump administration.

“She will expand upon her theme of ‘courage is contagious’ and celebrate the many Americans exhibiting courage and remaining vocal and vigilant,” according to the source familiar with the speech.

Harris has kept a relatively low profile since leaving office. She met with firefighters and volunteers in Altadena hours after attending Trump’s inauguration, and touched upon the Trump administration’s policies when she accepted an award from the NAACP in February.

Earlier this month, she decried the rollback of fundamental rights under Trump without mentioning him by name during a surprise appearance at a national conference of Black women leaders, including business owners and politicians, at an oceanfront resort in Dana Point.

“Our commitment to lifting each other up, lifting up our community, lifting up our country has not changed,” Harris said at the Leading Women Defined conference. “Now what has changed since 2016: We are in the midst of seeing progress being rolled back. Policies that we birthed being rolled back.”

Click here to read the full article in the LA Times

Will California Democrats defer to former VP Kamala Harris if she runs for governor?

Former Rep. Katie Porter’s spokesperson says she’ll bow out if the former vice president jumps into the race

Former Rep. Katie Porter certainly didn’t wait for former Vice President Kamala Harris to decide whether she, too, wants to run for California governor in 2026.

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

But Porter, in recently declaring her candidacy to replace term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom, has put a bit of an asterisk next to her campaign.

Should Harris decide to enter the race, Porter would bow out, her spokesperson has said.

Porter is laying out her cards.

“If Kamala comes into this race — especially if she comes in tomorrow, she comes in now — it’s going to have a near field-clearing effect,” Porter said on a recent episode of the “Pod Save America” podcast.

It would be “disrespectful,” Porter said when pressed on why she’s willing to defer to Harris rather than run a campaign regardless, not to acknowledge that the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee “would be an incredibly strong candidate.”

Meanwhile, other candidates are ignoring the Harris-of-it-all shadow cast on the already-crowded field for governor.

Former Assembly Speaker and Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, for instance, said a theoretical Harris entry doesn’t matter. He’s in it to win it, he said during a recent event at the UC Student and Policy Center in Sacramento.

So what’s the better campaign strategy for the field of Democrats, a group that, as of now, includes legislative leaders, members of the state’s executive branch and a former congressional representative?

Defer to the person who led your party in the recent presential election?

Or fight for pole position, convince voters that no matter who else runs, you’re the best one for the job?

It’s politics, so predicting just which approach is the most politically savvy strategy may be a fool’s errand this early in the race.

Still, it could prove to be a defining moment for Democrats, said Matt Lesenyie, who teaches political science at Cal State Long Beach, with a focus on political psychology and messaging.

Likening it to an actual horse race, Lesenyie said the Democratic Party — and to some extent, Republicans, too — have struggled because they have not had their top candidates really go toe-to-toe with one another.

“Their thoroughbreds haven’t actually had to run a race until it was too late,” he said. “(Former President) Joe Biden is a quality candidate but probably should have had another runner-up against him in the primary to show he still has it or he doesn’t.”

But certainly when you have a race oversaturated with quality candidates, most of them are going to take a foreseeable loss, Lesenyie said.

Click here to read the full article in the OC Register

Former US Rep. Katie Porter steps into crowded California governor’s race

LOS ANGELES (AP) — Former Democratic U.S. House member Katie Porter announced Tuesday that she is entering the 2026 contest for California governor, joining a crowded field of candidates that could be upended if former Vice President Kamala Harris joins the race.

Click Here to Subscribe to the California Political Review

Porter, who became a social media celebrity by brandishing a white board at congressional hearings while grilling CEOs, promised in a campaign launch video to be an aggressive counterweight to President Donald Trump’s administration at a time when the heavily Democratic state has clashed with the White House over issues from water management to immigrant rights.

“In Congress, I held the Trump administration’s feet to the fire when they hurt Americans. As governor, I won’t ever back down when Trump hurts Californians — whether he’s holding up disaster relief, attacking our rights or our communities, or screwing over working families to benefit himself and his cronies,” Porter said.

Harris, a former state attorney general and U.S. senator, has not ruled out seeking the governorship since she left Washington in January after a failed presidential bid. Porter is friendly with the former vice president and has indicated she would step aside if Harris joins the race. In 2012, Harris, then California’s attorney general, appointed Porter to be the state’s independent bank monitor in a multibillion-dollar nationwide mortgage settlement.

If Harris gets in the race “there are very few politicians who would want to take her on,” Claremont McKenna College political scientist Jack Pitney said. “She’d be likely to win the Democratic nomination, and Democrats are likely to win the governorship.”

Porter, who made an unsuccessful run for U.S. Senate last year and also is known for her small-dollar fundraising prowess, becomes one of the best-known candidates, joining former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis, among others, on the Democratic side.

Democrats are expected to easily hold the seat in a state where they outnumber registered Republicans by nearly 2 to 1. Republicans have not won a statewide election in California in nearly two decades.

On the GOP side, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco last month became the first major Republican to announce a bid to replace Newsom, whose term runs through early January 2027. He blamed Democrats for the ongoing homeless crisis and runaway housing prices.

Even if Harris gets in the race, the state’s open primary system can be unpredictable — all candidates appear on a single ballot, regardless of party, and only the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. Trump-aligned candidates could enter on the GOP side, generating conservative interest, or a wealthy candidate could emerge with the funds to rattle the expected order.

Click here to read the full article in AP News