Democrats destroyed California. Could a Republican save it? | Opinion

California needs new policies that could reshape its future, and conservative politicians might just be the ones for that job.

I love visiting California. It’s sunny and beautiful. Whether strolling through Hollywood or along the beach, it feels like everything is possible.

But that feeling is short-lived. I’d never want to live there.

Progressive policies sanctioned by the Democratic Party or Gov. Gavin Newsom have slowly eroded California’s burgeoning potential into a wasteland of high taxes, debt, and unresolved crises such as homeless, infrastructure and affordability. As a result, companies are moving and so are residents.

The state needs new policies that could reshape its future, and conservative politicians may have discovered a way to position themselves for greater influence. Democrats destroyed California. Could a Republican save it?

California has a long list of problems. Republicans can fix them.

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The Democratic Party in California has held a supermajority ‒ a two-thirds veto-proof majority ‒ in both chambers for a long time, allowing them to pass legislation with little Republican interference. California’s potential has been squandered, mismanaged or wasted as a result of progressive policies in key areas.Need a news break? Check out the all new PLAY hub with puzzles, games and more!

California’s sky-high income taxes, coupled with hefty government regulations, have forced businesses to bail on the Golden State. Public Storage is the latest high-profile company to leave California for Texas. It joins many others, like Tesla and Chevron.

Click here to read the full article at USA Today

Republicans blame Carl DeMaio for party division as his group rakes in millions

Keeping up with your California representatives felt impossible before. Now you can watch them like a hawk: Sign up for My Legislator, your weekly, personalized report that tracks what your state representatives say and do.

It was the first meeting of the new year and local Republicans, from senior leaders to right-wing influencers, were gathered at a suburban San Diego church to discuss who the party should endorse in the June primary.

Insults and personal attacks flew between a local GOP activist and Assemblymember Carl DeMaio for more than an hour as party members argued over how to tally their votes. Then, finally, came the results: No one would receive an endorsement, not even a candidate for the seat currently held by the Republican leader of the state Senate.

Republicans blamed DeMaio for the party’s failure to back even a single candidate for the first time in recent memory. Known for making more enemies than friends, he continues to anger his colleagues — both in the statehouse and at home in San Diego — as he works to strengthen his political organization, Reform California, one of the state’s biggest conservative fundraising machines.

In the months leading up to the vote, critics accused DeMaio of packing the local party with allies to ensure Reform California would become the authority on Republican endorsements in the San Diego area. The organization raised $5 million in 2024 alone — three times more than the San Diego Republican Party raised in that time.

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Former county party chair Corey Gustafson, who was ousted after refusing to back DeMaio’s 2024 Assembly campaign, said DeMaio has effectively made himself the de facto leader in local GOP politics – in part, by installing precinct committee members who benefit from Reform California dollars.

After DeMaio’s 2024 win, Republicans in San Diego believe Reform California and its endorsements are powerful and, without them, elections are harder to win, Gustafson said.

“The party can’t be as strong and have candidates respect their decision if they have an alternative to it,” he said. “And that’s what Carl DeMaio’s creating.”

Gustafson believes right-wing activist Kristie Bruce-Lane, the candidate DeMaio wants to replace outgoing Senate Minority Leader Brian Jones , is unlikely to win, but he says that’s beside the point.

Click here to read the full article in CalMatters

California Republicans oppose mileage-based fee proposal

SACRAMENTO, Calif. — Republican lawmakers at the California State Capitol are opposing a study weighing whether to replace the state’s gas tax with a mileage-based fee system, as proposed in Assembly Bill 1421.

The bill aims to extend the “Road Usage Charge Technical Advisory Committee” until January 2035, with the goal of replacing the current gas tax system with a per-mile usage fee to fund transportation infrastructure and repairs.

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As vehicles become more fuel-efficient and more electric cars hit the road, less gas is sold, leading to a drop in revenue, prompting lawmakers to seek ways to protect transportation funding.

“We already pay the highest gas taxes in the nation,” Assembly Republican Leader Heath Flora said in a statement. “Now Sacramento is talking about adding a new tax for every mile people drive. Piling on another tax right now shows just how out of touch politicians in Sacramento are with the reality working families face.”

The study is due on Jan. 1, 2027.

Click here to read the full article at KCRA

Why did Inland Empire Republicans do so well in Nov. 5 election?

Trump won Riverside, San Bernardino counties as GOP defended incumbents, picked up Assembly seat

California’s general election delivered wins across the board for Inland conservatives, from Donald Trump winning Riverside and San Bernardino counties to a surprise outcome in an Inland Empire Assembly district and right-of-center candidates winning school board seats in Temecula and Redlands.

It’s welcome news for Inland Republicans who for years have grappled with Democratic gains in a once solidly red region. And a national demographic trend offers further hope for local GOP officials seeking to build upon last month’s victories.

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New Inland GOP Assemblymember Leticia Castillo, who scored an upset win over Democrat Clarissa Cervantes in the blue-leaning 58th Assembly District in the Nov. 5 election, said via email the GOP did so well “because we carry the winning message — one that resonates with everyday Californians.”

That message, Castillo said, “focused on addressing the real challenges families face … from the soaring costs of homes, groceries and gas to the price of the water we drink, hard-working families are tapped out.”

“Californians want to feel safe in their homes, when they’re out shopping, or dining with their families,” said Castillo, who lives in the Home Gardens area outside Corona. “ …Yet it is Democrats and their policies that have threatened our access to affordable water, gas cars and gas stoves, while saddling families with skyrocketing costs and financial pressures.”

Cervantes appeared poised to succeed her sister, new state Sen. Sabrina Cervantes, D-Riverside, in representing the 58th, which represents Jurupa Valley, Grand Terrace and parts of Corona, Eastvale and Riverside. Going into November, just 28% of the district’s voters were registered Republicans compared to 43% for Democrats.

For decades, Riverside and San Bernardino counties were reliably Republican even as California became the deep-blue state it is today. The first sign of change came in 2008, when Democratic President Barack Obama won both counties.

Four years later, after political redistricting redrew the Inland political map, Democrats won several contested Inland races for the state Legislature and Congress. Today, Riverside and San Bernardino counties have pluralities of registered Democratic voters.

That said, the Inland Empire has never been a liberal haven. Gov. Gavin Newsom does poorly in Riverside County come election time, and the county is home to Trump-supporting Sheriff Chad Bianco, who is pondering a run for governor when Newsom is termed out in 2026.

While Trump, who visited the Coachella area in October, lost California as a whole, he’s the first GOP presidential candidate in 20 years to win the Inland Empire. And his coattails may have helped down-ballot conservatives.

Going into November, Democrats hoped to unseat Rep. Ken Calvert, R-Corona, in a swing district representing much of Riverside County. He won reelection, giving the GOP a vitally needed seat en route to keeping control of the House of Representatives.

Despite well-funded Democratic opponents, Assemblymember Greg Wallis, R-Rancho Mirage, and state Sen. Rosilicie Ochoa Bogh, R-Yucaipa, also won new terms in districts that overlapped Calvert’s district.

“The Republican Party of Riverside County had no greater priority than re-electing Congressman Calvert and Assemblyman Greg Wallis,” Matthew Dobler, Riverside County GOP chairman, said via email.

“Our voter registration and (get-out-the-vote) efforts were geared in many overlapping areas in Calvert and Wallis overlap areas.”

New U.S. Sen. Adam Schiff, D-California, won statewide, but lost to Republican Steve Garvey in Riverside and San Bernardino counties.

The Inland Empire also voted to the right of California on statewide ballot measures, with just slight majorities of Inland voters favoring a California constitutional amendment to protect same-sex marriage that won approval with 62.6% of the statewide vote.

Also, more than 60% of Inland voters opposed a failed ballot measure banning mandated prison labor; just 53% of all California voters opposed it.

Conservatives also won at the local level, including school board races.

Joseph Komrosky, who was recalled from the Temecula school board this summer, won his seat back while candidates favored by conservatives won two other seats on that board. In Redlands, two of three Christian conservatives endorsed by the Inland Empire Family Political Action Committee won school board seats.

Nationally, the Latino vote in 2024 swung toward Trump. That trend may have contributed to the GOP’s Inland success, with Latinos making up more than half the population in Riverside and San Bernardino counties.

For Mike Madrid, a GOP political consultant and expert on Latino voting trends, the success of Republican messaging to Inland working-class Latinos came down to one word: affordability.

Click here to read the full article in the Press Enterprise

This Latino Republican flipped a deep-blue California Assembly district. How?

  • Republican Jeff Gonzalez won a seat in the Assembly by focusing on the high cost of living and building alliances with Democrats.
  • He flipped a rural, mostly Latino district in the Imperial and Coachella valleys, where Democrats hold a nearly 14-point voter registration advantage.
  • Gonzalez is one of three Republicans who flipped Democratic seats in the California Legislature this year.

BRAWLEY, Calif. —  While Assemblyman Jeff Gonzalez, a newly elected Republican, was taking the oath of office in Sacramento last week, the phones of two supporters in Imperial County pinged with ecstatic updates from his staff about his first day at the Capitol.

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There were photos of Gonzalez’s nameplate outside his new office and of his freshly printed business cards. There was even one showing a piece of paper bearing his new letterhead.

The supporters receiving the pictures? Tony Gallegos and his fiancee, Olga Moreno, from El Centro. They are Democrats.

“We ate a little bit of crow in the beginning because here I am, a big Democrat, and [people think] all of a sudden I’ve changed,” said Gallegos, a former chair of the Imperial County Democratic Central Committee. “Well, we didn’t change. We just supported the better candidate.”

By winning his race to represent California Assembly District 36, which borders Mexico and includes a wide swath of the Imperial and Coachella valleys, Gonzalez flipped a rural, mostly Latino district where Democrats hold a nearly 14-point voter registration advantage.

Gonzalez, who wouldn’t say who he voted for in the presidential election, said he was successful because he worked hard to downplay party politics.

He campaigned with prominent local Democrats — including a onetime mayor of Calexico who organized a 2019 protest of former President Trump’s visit to the border that included the infamous, diaper-clad “Trump Baby” balloon — while still appealing to the MAGA Republicans who flocked to the former president’s October rally in Coachella.

“I don’t come here as a Republican,” Gonzalez, of Indio, said in an interview at the Capitol. “Yes, that’s my party, but … I don’t put that title on me. I come here as Jeff, as a community member looking to find a way to work together across the aisle.”

Still, Gonzalez’s victory has excited California Republicans, who hope they can make inroads in this liberal state — especially among voters of color — amid the country’s rightward shift that sent President-elect Donald Trump back to the White House.

Gonzalez, who is of Mexican and Puerto Rican descent, is one of three Republicans — two Latinos and one Asian American — to flip Democrat-held seats in the state Legislature in this election.

He won the seat vacated by Assemblyman Eduardo Garcia, a Coachella Democrat whom he unsuccessfully challenged in the blue-wave year of 2018, losing 35% to 65%.

This year, Gonzalez defeated Democrat Joey Acuña, the president of the Coachella Valley Unified School District board, by 3.6% of the vote. Acuña declined a Times request for comment.

Although Democrats still hold a supermajority in the Legislature, the growing number of Latino Republicans excites Assembly Republican leader James Gallagher of Yuba City.

“I think it’s huge,” Gallagher said. “It represents a realignment. We’re starting to see more and more Latino voters that were loyal Democratic voters and have started to break away from that.”

Assemblywoman Leticia Castillo, a Mexican American Republican who flipped a Democratic district in San Bernardino and Riverside counties, said her focus on “taking back” schools and the economy resonated with voters.

“I found a lot of people would talk about stuff that the Democrats were trying to push on them that they should care for,” Castillo said, referencing topics such as abortion and the new state law banning schools from enacting policies that require teachers to notify parents about changes to a student’s gender identity, including asking to be called by a different name or pronoun.

Voters, she said, made it clear that they “have other issues going on that are more important.”

Gonzalez focused his campaign on the Achilles’ heel of California Democrats: the state’s high cost of living.

In one Instagram video posted in October, Gonzalez stood in front of a gas station in the little desert town of Needles, where a gallon of regular gas cost $5.89. A few miles east, across the Arizona border, a gallon cost $2.95.

“There is no reason why Californians should have to cross state lines in order to make life more affordable,” he said. “Sacramento needs a change.”

Click here to read the full article in the LA Times

California swung right this election. But not because more people voted for Trump

California swung right by one of the largest margins nationwide. That’s mainly because Democratic turnout collapsed.

Like the rest of the nation, California swung right in 2024. But unlike some other places, there was little contribution from voters changing their votes from Democratic to Republican.

Instead, it’s mainly because Democratic voters seem to have stayed home.

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In the 49 California counties where the estimated vote count was nearly complete by Thanksgiving Day — a list that accounted for 97% of the state’s voting-age population — turnout fell by more than 10% compared to the 2020 election. That’s based on figures from the Secretary of State’s office, which publishes both vote totals as well as the estimated number of eligible voters in each county.

The declines weren’t proportional by party. Donald Trump earned roughly the same number of votes as he did in 2020 — but Kamala Harris earned more than 1.8 million fewer votes than Joe Biden did four years ago.

That Democratic decline was enough to meaningfully shift the margins in the state. While Joe Biden earned 64% of the vote in these 49 counties in 2020, Harris earned just 59%. Trump earned 34% of the vote in 2020 and 38% in 2024.

The data provide something of a counterpoint to trends in the rest of the country: While Democratic turnout dropped nationwide, at least some of the shift to Trump came from voters actively changing their minds from 2020 and switching their votes from Democratic to Republican. In California, turnout — or lack thereof, on the Democratic side — seems to have mattered far more.

Overall, the turnout decline was broad-based statewide and defied demographic patterns, spanning from north to south, rich to poor, urban to rural, and heavily white to heavily minority. Rural Hispanic San Benito County, home to Hollister, and metropolitan Los Angeles County both saw turnout declines approaching 14 percentage points — the largest in the state.

Click here to read the full article in the SF Chronicle

Fix California Increased Republican Registered Voters

Fix California increased registered voters in every Assembly, Senate, and Congressional District, and all 58 Counties

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“Republicans have once again increased their share of registered voters in every Assembly, State Senate, and congressional districts, and all 58 counties, according to the California Secretary of State’s first voter registration report update since February,” Rob Pyers, Research Director for the non-partisan California Target Book reported Friday.

“A HUGE shoutout to @RichardGrenell and FIX CALIFORNIA for their crucial role they are playing in this success through their voter education efforts! Support their work at http://FixCalifornia.com” – Carl DeMaio Chairman, Reform California and Candidate for State Assembly AD-75 posted on X.

These increases took place between July 3, 2020 and July 5, 2024, but as Rob Pyers notes, this has happened for every district for three consecutive reports now. 

“for every district for three consecutive reports now…” Interesting. Increases of registered voters in every Assembly, State Senate, and congressional districts, and all 58 counties…

And then, stunningly, only a couple of hours later, California GOP Chairwoman Jessica Patterson took credit for the Republican gains in a mass email:

Republicans did it again! For the third voter registration report in a row, California Republicans made massive gains while Democrats continue to lose voters. A Friday news dump from Secretary of State Weber shows Republicans, once again, gained new voters in every single congressional, senate and assembly district and across all 58 counties.

“Since CAGOP Chairwoman Jessica Millan Patterson was first elected in 2019, the party has added nearly 775,000 new Republicans to the voter rolls across California.”

I …just spit coffee…. Who has “added nearly 775,000 new Republicans to the voter rolls across California?”

The Globe made an inquiry with the CAGOP to ask how much has the CAGOP spent on voter registration this year? According to Republican insiders, the answer is the CAGOP probably invested $zero dollars in voter registration this year. We will update the story if we receive a reply from the CAGOP.

Click here to read the full article in the California Globe

In poll, Golden State has lost luster

Half of U.S. adults in survey say California is in decline; 48% of Republicans say it’s ‘not really American.’

Robert Gauthier Los Angeles Times

WASHINGTON — California’s national reputation as a place of dreams and prosperity is in jeopardy, battered by Republicans who dislike almost all aspects of the state and many Democrats who see it as too costly and a poor place to raise a family.

Nationwide, 50% of U.S. adults believe the state is in decline, according to a new survey for the Los Angeles Times.

Political polarization has intensified the negativity: 48% of Republicans believe the state is “not really American,” the survey found. Three in 10 Republicans say the home of Yosemite’s sheer peaks, Sequoia’s towering redwoods and Malibu’s beaches has a worse natural environment than other states.

Nearly 40% of Republicans don’t even think California is a good place to visit, though a majority in both parties say they have been to the state, according to the survey of 1,004 adults, conducted Jan. 26-28 by Leger, a Canadian firm that has polled extensively in the United States.

“If you are a more conservative American, you basically do not like California,” said Christian Bourque, Leger’s executive vice president and the poll’s supervisor. “Of course, we all expected some of that, but the differences are actually quite striking.”

California has, however, maintained its reputation as a new frontier, particularly among young people, who have long fueled the state’s energy.

Six in 10 adults nationwide think that the state is a trendsetter and that it has had a positive impact on the country. The share who see California as a trendsetter rises to 7 in 10 among those ages 18-34. A similar share of younger Americans also says that California’s impact on the U.S. has been positive.

Younger people were also twice as likely (43%) as other Americans to say they would consider moving to the state. Job opportunity was the top reason they cited (36%).

Among Republicans, just one-third said that the state’s impact on the country has been positive, while two-thirds said it has been a net negative.

The extent to which partisanship drives opinion can also be seen in how much Americans’ views of California overlap with opinions on seemingly unrelated, but similarly polarized, topics such as climate change, gender equality, racism and abortion.

People who see racism as an important issue in the U.S., for example, are more than twice as likely to think California is a good place to visit (77%) as those who think racism is unimportant (35%).

Californians do have notably different views than the rest of the country on some issues. Abortion stands out: Nearly half (46%) of Californians say abortion should be legal in all cases, a view shared by just over 1 in 4 adults nationwide.

Beyond partisanship, the poll underscores how economic trends of recent years have affected California’s image. High housing prices have led to a persistent crisis of homelessness and have helped drive three straight years of population decline after more than a century of nonstop growth.

Californians in both parties, even those who appreciate the state’s natural environment and cultural values, have complained that it has become too expensive, with roughly 8 in 10 California residents and nearly 9 in 10 in the rest of the country holding that view, the poll found.

Only about 2 in 5 Americans called California a good place to raise a family, and a similar share said its economy is strong.

Fewer than 3 in 10 people nationwide judged the state’s colleges and universities — consistently ranked among the best in academic surveys — as better than other states’ higher education options. Notably, however, younger Americans and adults who live in California were significantly more likely to rate California colleges and universities as better than others.

The degree to which political or ideological beliefs color such opinions was pervasive. For example, fewer than 1 in 5 people overall said California has a better standard of living than other states. That falls to 1 in 10 among Republicans. A majority in the GOP say California’s standard of living is worse than most states.

By contrast, about 1 in 3 Democrats say California’s standard of living is better than most states, while 4 in 10 say it’s about the same and fewer than 2 in 10 call it worse.

Political divisions have subsumed many aspects of American life in recent years. But California has been the target of particularly virulent attacks from conservative media personalities and politicians as it has shifted from political battleground to Democratic lock. The attacks accelerated during Donald Trump’s presidency, when the state often sued the federal government, especially on immigration and environmental policies.

Memories of Republican Govs. Ronald Reagan in the 1960s and 1970s or Pete Wilson in the 1990s have receded for many Americans as the state has morphed into an emblem of progressivism — propelled by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom’s push to sign laws designed to combat red-state policies on climate,abortion, immigration status, gender and other hot-button issues.

Not all Democrats are on board with that shift — 30% call the state too liberal, a view shared by 81% of Republicans.

Conservative politicians have increasingly defined themselves by opposition to California: “Don’t allow Florida to become San Francisco,” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared this month as he unveiled legislation designed to reduce homelessness that included a crackdown on camping in public places.

DeSantis has been a leading critic of the state, releasing videos from San Francisco as part of his former presidential campaign in which he claimed (without proof) that he had seen people defecating on the street.

Other conservatives, including Elon Musk, have joined in railing against the state’s former COVID-19 restrictions, its laws allowing gender affirming care for minors and its policies granting access to subsidized public healthcare for low-income people who came to the country illegally.

The public pounding by Fox News and conservative social media has helped drive negative views of the state on issues such as safety: Three-quarters of Republicans say they think the state is unsafe, despite recent improvements in crime statistics in Los Angeles and other major cities. In 2022, the most recent year for which the FBI has released state-by-state data, California’s reported rate of violent crime was above the national average, but similar to the rates in states as disparate as Colorado, South Carolina and Missouri.

The policy and cultural clashes over California came to a head in December when DeSantis debated Newsom on Fox News over whose state is better governed and whose definition of freedom better matched the American ideal.

The answer for many Americans appears to be a draw, according to the poll: California and Florida were roughly tied when people were asked which of the two states better represents their values — 52% sided with Florida, 48% with California. The division was similar when the poll asked about California versus Texas.

Views on whether California is more free than other states showed a similar split, with roughly a quarter saying it was more free and another quarter saying it was less free. The rest said it was roughly the same or declined to answer.

Newsom has argued that California stands for freedom, citing its protection of abortion rights, affordable healthcare, clean air and other progressive priorities.

Click here to read the full article in the LA Times

Michael Smolens:  California Ballot Measures Could Give Republicans Strong Anti-Tax Argument

As California Democrats head into the 2024 election, several things seem to be going their way.

A measure on the ballot defending same-sex marriage could be an added turnout magnet in a presidential election year that already is expected to bring more Democratic-leaning voters to the polls.

Republicans in Congress, despite their current disarray, continue to ponder further limits or a ban on abortion — another Democratic motivator.

And the Republican Democrats love to hate, Donald Trump, may well be on the ballot again.

But California Republicans may have at least one ace in the hole: a potentially compelling anti-tax argument.

Three tax-related measures are targeted for the ballot, though none actually raises taxes.

A Democratic proposal would lower the voter-approval threshold to 55 percent for local taxes and bonds that now require a two-thirds majority to pass.

measure sponsored by the California Business Roundtable would require all local taxes and bonds to be approved by a two-thirds majority, including fees and charges that currently don’t require a public vote. The proposal also calls for voters to approve all state taxes.

To counter that, Assemblymember Chris Ward, D-San Diego, authored a ballot proposition that would require measures raising the approval threshold to be approved by that same threshold. In other words, the business proposal would need a two-thirds majority.

The two Democratic measures were placed on the ballot by the Legislature, while the business proposal qualified through the signature-gathering initiative process.

The support among Democratic lawmakers for the two legislative measures might suggest broad backing across deep blue California.

But support for — or opposition to — tax increases, among other things, don’t always fall along partisan lines. Majorities of California voters in 2020 sided with the GOP rather than the Democratic leadership position on a handful of ballot measures involving property taxes, rent control, criminal justice, affirmative action and the gig economy.

Whether that dynamic spilled over to candidate races, or whether it would next year, is far from clear.

But it certainly gives credence to what some Republican leaders for years have been saying is needed to improve the party’s fortunes in California: focus on pocketbook, quality of life, and state and local issues that cut across party lines, and avoid the divisive culture wars and national politics.

Easier said than done.

That approach was the Republican hope for the 2021 recall election of Gov. Gavin Newsom. But arguments about homelessness, crime and cost of living lost their steam once right-wing lightning rod Larry Elder jumped into the race to replace Newsom, who made Elder the issue and handily defeated the recall bid.

Plus, there’s no getting away from Trump, who can bolster Republican turnout but, more significantly, energize Democrats.

Some frustrated Republicans complain Democrats and the media overly focus on social issues and Trump. But it’s the conservative-dominated Supreme Court that scuttled a half-century of precedent supporting the constitutionality of abortion by overturning Roe v. Wade. And it’s Republicans pushing limits on LGBTQ rights across the nation.

True, Democrats led by Newsom and Senate president Toni Atkins, D-San Diego, did put a successful measure on the 2022 ballot to enshrine abortion rights in the state constitution. A “right to marry” law is planned for the 2024 ballot that would repeal the same-sex marriage ban under Proposition 8, even though the language of the 2008 voter-approved measure was invalidated in court.

But the Supreme Court’s Roe reversal suggests future rulings could override existing abortion protections and reactivate Proposition 8, which remains on the books.

Meanwhile, a move by some Republicans to drop opposition to abortion and same-sex marriage from the California GOP platform was swiftly rejected during the party’s convention last weekend. Granted, not many people pay attention to party platforms, but the short-lived challenge is emblematic of the state party’s struggle to move forward.

Arguments to protect the 1978 landmark tax-cutting initiative Proposition 13 may have lost some resonance over time. But concerns about taxes and economic burdens in general are evergreen political issues.

Democrats contend the high bar to raise taxes is unfair, pointing to numerous measures that were supported by large majorities yet failed the two-thirds test. They contend that has deprived governments of revenue for infrastructure and services desired by the public.

To what degree state and local tax increase proposals will appear on the ballot next year remains to be seen. In April, the governor rejected a state Senate proposal to raise business taxes as part of a budget package.

Democrats and many city and school officials are clearly concerned about the business-backed ballot measure. Last month, Newsom, Atkins and others filed an emergency petition with the state Supreme Court in an effort to keep the proposal off the ballot.

They contend the proposition would illegally revise the state constitution and cripple local government finances, in part because the measure is retroactive to Jan. 1, 2022, and would threaten taxes and fees enacted since then.

Should the current economic discontent roll over into the election year, Republicans may have a strong case for high voting thresholds as a safeguard against over-taxation in already-expensive California, where the cost of housing and gasoline trigger near-constant ire.

Carrying the anti-tax theme a step further, Republicans could point out the business measure also would ban road use charges, also known as vehicle miles traveled fees — which have proved unpopular in some regions.

Such fees are being considered in California and across the country as a replacement for gas tax revenues that are shrinking with the increase of fuel-efficient vehicles and electric vehicles.

A long-range transportation plan drawn up by the San Diego Association of Governments included road charges, but the political fallout jarred supporters.

The SANDAG board, including some Democrats, officially removed the mileage tax from the plan last month.

Click here to read the full article in the San Diego Union Tribune

Republicans’ Faith in 2024 Vote Count Low, Poll Finds

Few Republicans have high confidence that votes will be tallied accurately in next year’s presidential contest, suggesting years of sustained attacks against elections by former President Trump and his allies have taken a toll, according to a new poll.

The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll found that only 22% of Republicans have high confidence that votes in the upcoming presidential election will be counted accurately, compared with 71% of Democrats expressing high confidence — underscoring a partisan divide fueled by a campaign of lies about the 2020 vote.

As he runs for the White House a third time, Trump continues to claim that the 2020 election was stolen.

Overall, 44% of Americans surveyed said they had “a great deal” or “quite a bit” of confidence that the votes in the next election would be counted accurately.

Confidence in elections has risen among Democrats in recent years, but has dropped among Republicans. Ahead of the 2016 election, 32% of Republicans polled were highly confident that votes would be counted accurately. That share rose to 54% two years later, after Trump won the presidency.

But their confidence fell to 28% a month before the 2020 election as Trump signaled that the voting would be rigged, and now sits at 22%.

“I just didn’t like the way the last election went,” said Lynn Jackson, a nurse and registered Republican from Contra Costa County. “I have questions about it. I can’t actually say it was stolen — only God knows that.”

Trump’s claims were rejected by dozens of judges, including several he had appointed. Multiple reviews, audits and recounts in the battleground states where Trump disputed his loss — including several overseen by GOP lawmakers — confirmed Democrat Joe Biden’s victory.

Even so, Trump’s claims led GOP-dominated states to pass new laws increasing voting restrictions, primarily by restricting mail voting and limiting or banning ballot drop boxes. Across the country, conspiracy theories related to voting machines prompted many Republican-controlled local governments to explore banning counting machines in favor of hand counts.

The AP-NORC survey found that political independents — a group that has consistently had low confidence in elections — were also largely skeptical about the integrity of the 2024 elections. Just 24% said they had the highest levels of confidence that the votes would be counted accurately.

Chris Ruff, a 46-year-old unaffiliated voter from Sanford, N.C., said he lost faith in elections years ago, believing they are rigged. He also sees no difference between the two major parties.

“I don’t vote at all,” he said. “I think it only adds credibility to the system if you participate.”

The conspiracy theories about voting machines, promoted through forums held around the country, also have taken a toll on confidence among Republicans even though there is no evidence to support the claims.

About 4 in 10 U.S. adults said they were highly confident that scanning paper ballots into a machine provides accurate counts. Democrats are about twice as confident in the process as Republicans — 63% compared with 29%. That marks a notable shift from a 2018 AP-NORC poll that found just 40% of Democrats were confident compared with 53% of Republicans.

Gillian Nevers, a 79-year-old retiree from Madison, Wis., has been a poll worker and said she had confidence — based on her experiences — in the people who oversee elections.

“I have never seen any shenanigans,” said Nevers, who votes Democratic. “The claims are unfounded and ridiculous.”

The conspiracy theories have led to death threats against election officials and an exodus of experienced workers.

Among other poll findings:

Most Republicans — 62% — said they were opposed to voting by mail without an excuse, compared with just 13% of Democrats.

Requiring a photo ID to cast a ballot received broad bipartisan support. Seven in 10 adults said they would favor a measure requiring voters to provide photo identification, including 87% of Republicans and 60% of Democrats.

A slim majority of Americans — 55% — said they supported automatically registering adult citizens to vote when they get a driver’s license or other state identification.

Four in 10 adults said eligible voters being denied the right to vote is a major problem in U.S. elections, but about as many Americans said the same about voting by people who are not eligible. The perceived significance of each issue varies by political party: 56% of Republicans said illegal voting is a major problem in U.S. elections, compared with 20% of Democrats. And 53% of Democrats said eligible voters being unable to vote is a major problem, compared with 26% of Republicans.

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